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 LA Lakers @ Sac Kings In Depth analysis and plays.........................
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strozey Member |
posted 22 May 2025 01:24 AM
  
Guys I'm prowling the Net right now, this one involve a deeper # for the spread, I'll be back stroz IP: Logged |
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JOEYGAFFNEYSPORTS Member |
posted 21 May 2025 02:49 AM
STROZEY 1-0 MAINMAN 0-1 GUS LAVIDAS 1-1 GOOD CALL ON THE UNDER . and also thanks to my friends kev from CANADA on kobe and also thx to sporting news for the call. Good luck today guys Gus Lavidas IP: Logged |
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strozey Member |
posted 20 May 2025 07:20 PM
Hearing Coach Adelman's assesment of the Kings defense has put the 'eye' on the Kings to step up on D. Almost all statistics point to an under (not that that matters). With Kobe in questionable condition, I have to differ in this spot. on average the total in the game will stay under. strozey IP: Logged |
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MainMan Junior Member |
posted 20 May 2025 02:41 PM
Hi, This is the so-called dream match-up. Its hard to believe the Lakers just pick up their game to win but they did. Horry,Fox, George all had good games. When the Lakers play well as a team they are virtually unbeatable. Sacramento I thought was playing very well coming into the game, even without Stojakovic. I think the better bet is the over/under 195. The Lakers usually score 100 pts for an average game. Sacramento is not a defensive team so they will score 100 pts again. Sacramento usually scores 106 but against the better defensive teams they score in the 90's. There is no way Sacramento will score under 90 pts at home. So if we just have an average game 195 pts will be scored. To win the over we need a score of 98 to 98. If La break 100 we need. 100 to 96 a moderate game. The potential is for the over. La will not quit. If Sacramento gets out in front and scores 100 pts. the Lakers will match them. 195 is a lot of points but I would hate to be under watching these two teams go at it. Sacrament will probably have a better game. Best bet is the over 195. IP: Logged |
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strozey Member |
posted 20 May 2025 11:27 AM
1-1 in the series, I've taken my look and made an assesment. I figure this is a sought after matchup and a little analysis can't hurt. What you get if your money is on LA: Lakers defense has been the definition of underated, just ask the Kings while Webber ran up 28 pts. in game 1, starting 6th man Hedo Turkoglu was blanked by LA's Rick Fox. The Kings who normally avg. over 104 ppg during the regular season were held to 96 pts. Robert Horry played 42 minutes in scoring 18 points, 8 rebs. and 4 stls. Devean George chipped in w/ 9 pts. over 12 minutes. Fox backed up his words w/ 9 pts.. Interviewed Sunday Fox when told Sac may start Jackson in a 3 guard set in lieu of Turkoglu- replied " "He (Turkoglu) may have come in feeling he had an advantage, he's a little taller an agressive player toward the basket. " "We look at some tape, and we do what we have to." Statistical stuff LA Lakers this season are 4-1 SU when leading a playoff series. 28-17 SU on the road in 2002 I forget how many playoff games they've won in a row LOL LA is 17-5 SU @ Arco the L3 years The O/U is 8-14 for that stretch What you get if your money is on Sacramento: One question on defense, What will they do? Here's what some of the Kings themselves have to say, * Gerald Wallace 2pts. 1 stl. 1 blk. - (on Shaq) "I saw him standing on the free-throw line and thought, Oh my God! His arm is as wide as my waist." Wallace may be new to all of this, but he already speaks a universal NBA language. "It's kind of hard to prepare for Shaq because you don't know if the refs will baby him or not." * Vlade Divac 12 pts. " This game wasn't fun, I didn't have fun - in the 2nd 3rd and 4th qtrs. we played good. But we didn't have the energy to finish." In the finals your not supposed to have fun Vlade. "They're All-Stars -- you've got to protect them," Divac said sarcastically when asked about the discrepancy. "I agree with the refs. You shouldn't make calls on them. You have to protect them. "There were a lot of questionable calls," he said. "There was a lot of frustration. It was a shame how it was. It just wasn't fun at all." Chucky Brown reserve forward "Shaq's not all power now," Brown said. "He has some finesse to his game. He's picked up more moves, like Hakeem. When you're a great player like Shaq, you never stop learning and getting better. You live and learn, and that can be trouble for everyone else." Statistical stuff 3-4 ATS coming off of a loss @ Arco Arena and while they are 31-16 @ home vs. the league 1-4 ATS vs. LA this year 6-5 ATS @ Arco the L3 seasons Sac is 11-10 ATS L3 years to LA Sac is 11-13 ATS against division opponents With Sacramento basically pleaing publicly for a break on the calls, LA's dominance again takes the stage, the Kings have a shot to win this but they literally had all the wind blown out of their sails. LA is not taking anything lightly and will only play the same game or better, Kings seem to have a low percentage chance once again. As for the total, I again must defer to the #'s on average this game will go under more than not. The higher percentage play is the Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 strozey IP: Logged |
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strozey Member |
posted 18 May 2025 11:19 AM
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JOEYGAFFNEYSPORTS Member |
posted 18 May 2025 01:56 AM
Strozey well said and well predicted Im with you on this and the under is too good to be true. Kings are Talking alot of B.S and you know how that goes,after the game expect to hear the regular line of " we just didnt try our best and lost" Lakers IP: Logged |
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strozey Member |
posted 18 May 2025 12:44 AM
For those looking to get a leg up on the big game........ My report: This year, the Lake show have owned the Sac town boys, taking 3-of-4 ATS vs. Sacramento as a matter of fact the Lakers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The over/under was 2-7 in those games with LA holding the venerable Kings who regularly avg. over 104 ppg to a lean 93.3 points per game in this years 4 matchups. Irrespective of the fact that the over was prevalient in the Sac/Dallas series 4x 'over' to 1 'under', playing 'under' the total was in a very profitable 5-0 trend in the Jazz/Kings series preceding it. Series 1 Totals: Kings on three +days rest 0-7-1 O/U At home 19-27 O/U (five of the 3+ days rest games were at home, the push game was away.) Reg season between these two 1-3 O/U Appears to me the higher percentage play is the 'under' @ 195. As far as the side is concerned, my thoughts: Sacramento has been solid going 5-1 ATS their last six. LA is on the other hand 2-8 ATS their last 10, most of those games having the Lakers favored. As a +1.5 underdog Saturday, we might remind ourselves that the Lakers have won 11 straight road playoff games SU and 23 of their last 25 playoff contests SU as well. Notes on injuries: *Of note: Kings coach Rick Adelman has hinted that Vlade Divac could play a high post, which in theory would bring Shaq out of the paint opening up interior play oppurtunities for Sacramento, no word on any possible adjustments by Lakers coach Phil Jackson to address this potential strategy. With Peja Stojakovic not expected to return from his ankle injury for either of the first two games in Sacramento, and LA provided with ample rest. I am of the opinion the high percentage play is the Los Angeles Lakers @ +1.5 *Other angles: LA 4th Qtr they are 6-1 playoffs, 4-0 vs kings reg season. LA went 5-0 ATS for the 2nd H spread vs. SA in their series. comment welcomed, good luck to all of the players today - special thanks to kev_diddy & lothar strozey [This message has been edited by strozey (edited 18 May 2025).] IP: Logged |
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